Friday, February 29, 2008

Robin Hood Budget

Here are some highlights on the Indian budget:

• For income upto Rs 1,50,000 tax liability will be nil, between Rs 1,50,000 and Rs 3,00,000 tax liability will be 10% , from 3 lakh to 5 lakh tax liability will be 20%, from 5 lakh upwards it will be 30%
• No change in surcharge of corporate tax
• 5 year tax holiday for hospitals especially in tier 2 and tier 3 cities
• Central sales tax cut from 3% to 2%
• Govt withdraws banking transaction tax
• Levy on STT only on option premiums
• Commodities transaction tax introduced like STT
• Short term capital gains to be taxed at 15% instead of the previous 10%
• STT Will be treated as an expense rather than a Tax (its worst than the Short term capital gain increase to 15% for traders)
• 5 year tax holiday to 2,3& 4 star hotels in UNESCO declared heritage site areas
• Dividend of subsidiary company will be exempt from DDT
• Duty on 2 wheelers reduced from 16 to 12%
• Excise on small cars reduced to 14%
• Excise on pharma goods slashed to 14%
• Reduce duties on steel melting scrap, aluminum scrap
• Total estimate of Farmer loans being waived is Rs. 60,000 Cr.

All in all an OK to bad budget (ok for common man & bad for stock market man), unless if you are a farmer then good for you, but the interesting thing will be to see how the money will be allocated to the Farmer loan waiver scheme cause that matter has been alluded & not even accounted for in the budget, ofcourse an easy way should be diluting stake in a few state owned companies, rather than even thinking of any further tax levy. Also the tinkering with stock markets was uncalled for & not needed after a crash of this proportion, but since it will affect the FII's in no way, the retail suffering is ignored & not that it will generate any substantial revenues for the govt. Well atleast on the bright side the long term capital gain was left untouched. So will the short term players run to book profits before before 31st March ? Which profits, all short term profit gone with the crash. So the taxes (direct & indirect) continues & so does the Robin hood budget, seems the Govt is more happy pleasing the Left rather than the public, the corporate, the money making people, hope they don't kill the goose giving the golden egg too much.

So still no bail out for the bulls with the world markets weak & budget aggravating our weakness, seems the FM has laid out seeds for a future Bear Market.

Technically we remain as is, same as posted in the "Moment of truth" below.

7 comments:

niftyxl said...

quote "Which profits, all short term profit gone with the crash." -unquote

LOL..well said...it looks like only Bears will pay income tax this year..!!

sirji,as u said nifty is gonna fill the 4950 gap on monday or tuesday.

Baron said...

yup sadly the blame will go more on the US markets than the FM tinkering, so US markets will be the scapegoats for our FM. 4950 should hold otherwise trouble in dalal st. land

Baron said...

also the bears need not cover their shorts as futures will already be in under Business income, but short term bull will liquidate so double whammy.

niftyxl said...

sirji...hope and pray for another US FED rate soon else...our dear HLN's dream and our nightmare will come true...

Baron said...

please remember though the weakness is there, 5100 is stronghold of bulls & after that 4950, but keep in mind march end is Mutual fund territory, they will have to take care of their NAVs & will try to boost the markets...

Baron said...

FED cuts may not not help much, dow is already in bear market 90%, so dont remain in hope for dow... we will surely follow but after a rally of some sort to test previous highs is my guess

niftyxl said...

kya baron bhai...

forget previous high..we r gonna test previous low 4400..